The DOCument Market Blog Posts http://www.thedocument.com/ Commodity and Stock Trading from TheDocument.com Tue, 24 Feb 2009 16:30:00 EST en-us Daily Gold Cycle: Hourly Limbo http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130508-daily-gold-cycle-waiting-for-hourly-breakout.cfm Wed, 08 May 2013 10:10:51 EST After gold surged $150 off its crash low, price has been mired between roughly $1440 and $1480 for the last nine... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130508-daily-gold-cycle-waiting-for-hourly-breakout.cfm Loonie Bear http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130418-canadian-dollar-breaking-down-with-crude-oil.cfm Thu, 18 Apr 2013 19:57:08 EST The Canadian dollar looks to be in technical trouble, and if its correlation with the price of crude oil continues to hold, cycle analysis of oil supports the bearish view. Let's begin with the CAD chart... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130418-canadian-dollar-breaking-down-with-crude-oil.cfm Deflation Arising http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130417-commodity-index-violates-major-fibonacci-retracement.cfm Wed, 17 Apr 2013 19:10:32 EST For those of you who put weight on Fibonacci retracements... a subset of traders which excludes yours truly, by the way... the view on the Continuous Commodity Index is not looking good for... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130417-commodity-index-violates-major-fibonacci-retracement.cfm Commodity Market Remains Broken http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/2013-commodity-market-remains-in-downtrend.cfm Thu, 04 Apr 2013 20:24:05 EST Somebody please remind the commodity market that it left a 3-year cycle low behind nine months ago. After a 3-month surge out of that low, commodities have stumbled and continue to... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/2013-commodity-market-remains-in-downtrend.cfm Sample Member Letter http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130106-free-commodity-cycles-newsletter.cfm Sun, 06 Jan 2013 14:10:53 EST In late 2012, I began a series entitled "Current Call" which sought to display the power of cycle analysis via high-probability setups. The series began with a thud. In fact, the series began with three thuds as the first several calls failed within... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2013/20130106-free-commodity-cycles-newsletter.cfm Operation Shout http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121213-operation-shout-fomc-prints-money.cfm Thu, 13 Dec 2012 11:42:35 EST If the addition of $45B per month of unsterilized counterfeiting doesn't juice inflation, I don't know what will. The FOMC has now committed to creating $85B per month out of thin air at least until the U.S. unemployment rate drops to 6.5% or inflation expectations exceed 2.5%. Barring an acceleration of these efforts... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121213-operation-shout-fomc-prints-money.cfm Current Call IV: Buy Gold Miners http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121202-current-call-buy-gold-miners.cfm Sun, 02 Dec 2012 17:04:43 EST With our third Current Call to buy gold still alive and kicking, I would like to open a fourth call: <b>buy the gold miners</b>. Cycles for both gold and the general stock market are aligning in a way which could give a great boost to... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121202-current-call-buy-gold-miners.cfm Equity Correction Almost Done http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121107-stock-market-correction-almost-complete.cfm Wed, 07 Nov 2012 20:01:11 EST Back on October 13 I posted a piece describing the factors within cycle analysis which suggested stocks would decline toward the election. Today's post-election plunge puts a final piece of the puzzle into place with regard to... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121107-stock-market-correction-almost-complete.cfm Current Call Redux: Buy Gold Again http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121103-current-call-buy-gold-again.cfm Sat, 03 Nov 2012 14:43:25 EST I'm beginning to believe my new Current Call series is going to prove to be a jinx on my trading. Like the oil trade, gold quickly flopped after the issuance of a buy signal. This gold trade was particularly pernicious because... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121103-current-call-buy-gold-again.cfm Current Call: Buy Gold http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121101-current-call-buy-gold.cfm Thu, 01 Nov 2012 17:56:31 EST Cycle analysis is currently showing a favorable setup for entering a long gold trade. Over the past three weeks the yellow metal has produced an intermediate-degree decline by forming a weekly swing high, as well as a failed daily cycle. Furthermore... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121101-current-call-buy-gold.cfm Green Line or Panic http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121028-why-I-am-not-buying-gold-yet.cfm Sun, 28 Oct 2012 15:39:12 EST Over the past week, gold formed a daily swing low in the middle of its timing band for not only a daily cycle low, but also a weekly low. The rallies out of weekly lows tend to produce extended, trending moves, and given the backdrop of... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121028-why-I-am-not-buying-gold-yet.cfm Current Call Failed: Sold Crude Oil http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121023-current-call-sold-crude-oil.cfm Tue, 23 Oct 2012 21:38:30 EST The call to buy oil on October 3 has failed, an ignominious start to the Current Call series. At the time of the call, oil was trading at $89.66. The low for that day, which was believed to be a daily cycle low and thereby became... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121023-current-call-sold-crude-oil.cfm Election Decline http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121013-stock-market-decline-into-election.cfm Sat, 13 Oct 2012 14:02:26 EST With a fresh QE program in place, the least likely path many people see for stocks is for a substantial correction to unfold just before the Presidential election, but cycle analysis suggests this outcome is just what will happen. As cycle proponents know... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121013-stock-market-decline-into-election.cfm Current Call: Buy Crude Oil http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121003-current-call-buy-crude-oil.cfm Wed, 03 Oct 2012 10:40:57 EST Cycle analysis is currently showing a favorable setup for entering a long crude oil trade. Oil's daily cycles typically span 1.5 to 2.5 months. With the previous daily cycle low (DCL) occurring in late July, crude appears to be in the process of... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20121003-current-call-buy-crude-oil.cfm Cycle Analysis of Gold, Stock, and the Dollar http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20120916-stock-and-commodity-cycle-review.cfm Sun, 16 Sep 2012 18:13:27 EST Over the past couple of weeks, I have received an unprecedented number of e-mails from Members posing alternate cycle views and seeking my thoughts on one possibility over another. No doubt, many factors contribute to the concerns over the accuracy of analysis expressed by these inquiries, including rapid price movements, the initiation of... http://www.thedocument.com/stock_market_blog/2012/20120916-stock-and-commodity-cycle-review.cfm